Quantitative decision guide

How to choose effect-size inputs for a defensible power analysis

Use prior evidence, smallest effects of interest, design constraints, and sensitivity analysis instead of an unexplained conventional value.

Use prior evidence, smallest effects of interest, design constraints, and sensitivity analysis instead of an unexplained conventional value.

Start with the decision the study must support

Power depends on an estimand, design, analysis model, error criterion, and target operating characteristic. Naming a test without those inputs is not enough.

Build a range of justified inputs

Use relevant prior studies cautiously, measurement reliability, plausible heterogeneity, and the smallest effect that would matter. Record why each source is transferable or not.

Use sensitivity as the main communication tool

Show how required sample size changes across plausible effects, attrition, clustering, and variance assumptions. This makes uncertainty visible before recruitment.

Failure modes to check

  • Choosing a method because it is familiar rather than because it matches the estimand and data structure.
  • Treating assumptions as a generic pass/fail checklist instead of evidence about a specific model.
  • Changing the workflow after seeing results without recording the decision or its effect on uncertainty.
  • Reporting software output without tracing the claim to final code, diagnostics, and limitations.

Continue the decision path

Explore the related statistical consulting service, or discuss the decision in your own study.

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Methodological note

This guide provides general educational information. The appropriate decision depends on the study question, design, data, evidence, ethics, and institutional requirements.

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